Poll predicts Scotland ‘No’ campaign ’to win by 54% to 46%’
Scotland will remain part of the UK after the independence referendum, pollster YouGov has predicted, as it forecast the ‘No’ campaign would win the crucial vote.
The polling firm predicted that 54% of people north of the border would vote ‘No’, and that 46% would back independence.
Such a result would give pro-UK campaigners a more comfortable victory than some recent polls had suggested.
YouGov contacted 1,828 people after they had voted today, as well as 800 who had voted by post.
All those who took part in the research had previously been polled, allowing the company to see if there had been a last-minute swing to either side on the day.
YouGov said its responses suggested there had been a small shift from ‘Yes’ to ‘No’ on polling day, and also that ‘No’ supporters were slightly more likely to turn out to vote.
It released its findings just 30 minutes after polling in the independence referendum closed.
